TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Hanshin Tigers: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Hanshin Tigers?

Volume:
$6,932

Hanshin Tigers wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Hanshin Tigers wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 7:50 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hanshin Tigers wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,575
N/A
N/A
$3,713
Settled
No
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,178
N/A
N/A
$1,172
Settled
No
kalshi

Hanshin Tigers wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$966
N/A
N/A
$938
Settled
No
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$213
N/A
N/A
$213
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This market tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the Hiroshima Toyo Carp and the Hanshin Tigers, focusing on the margin of victory. It determines whether either team wins by a specific number of runs or more, reflecting the competitive balance and potential dominance in the matchup.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different winning margins for both the Hiroshima Toyo Carp and the Hanshin Tigers in their Japan NPB game scheduled for October 6, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered: the Hanshin Tigers winning by over 2.5 runs, the Hanshin Tigers winning by over 1.5 runs, the Hiroshima Toyo Carp winning by over 1.5 runs, and the Hiroshima Toyo Carp winning by over 2.5 runs. Each outcome is assessed based on the actual run differential at the conclusion of the game. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the specific rule that matches the game's result. It is important to note that Kalshi, the platform hosting this market, has no official affiliation with the Japan NPB or any governing league, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Carp vs Tigers spread tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the market is valuing the probability of the Hanshin Tigers winning by over 1.5 runs, as well as observe changes in sentiment over time. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $5,603 and the total volume is $6,932. This allows you to assess market activity and potential shifts in expectations regarding the game’s outcome. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are positioning themselves on this particular spread.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a broader range of information and participant perspectives than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from those on Kalshi, it could indicate disagreement about the likely outcome or differing assessments of team strengths. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can arise due to varying factors and market dynamics. It's common for prediction markets to be more accurate than traditional polls.

This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final score differential between the Hiroshima Toyo Carp and the Hanshin Tigers. If the Tigers win by more than 1.5 runs, the market will settle in favor of that outcome. The final result will be determined by official game statistics and verified against reliable sources. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the market’s resolution.

Several factors could influence the Carp vs Tigers spread market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in starting pitchers, or weather forecasts impacting the game could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected performance in preceding games by either team could also affect trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed activity and trigger price movements. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators may also play a role, influencing how traders assess the likelihood of the Hanshin Tigers winning by over 1.5 runs.