TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 10:14 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Japan B League game, scheduled for October 21 at 6:05AM ET: If the Hiroshima Dragonflies win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Dragonflies". If the Akita Northern Happinets win, the market will resolve to "Akita Northern Happinets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming Japan B League game, scheduled for October 21 at 6:05AM ET: If the Hiroshima Dragonflies win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Dragonflies". If the Akita Northern Happinets win, the market will resolve to "Akita Northern Happinets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals freely expressing their beliefs. Discrepancies can emerge due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more informed trading pool. Examining these differences can be insightful, but remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s efficiency stems from the incentive for traders to accurately assess the probability and profit from mispricings.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hiroshima Dragonflies versus Akita Northern Happinets game, as reported by official league sources. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome for this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching strategies for either the Hiroshima Dragonflies or the Akita Northern Happinets could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even broader trends within the B.League, might also play a role. Significant media coverage or public endorsements could also contribute to price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.