TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 5:56 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Scottish Cup game, scheduled for October 3 at 10:00 AM ET.
More markets for the Scottish Cup game, scheduled for October 3 at 10:00 AM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, sometimes differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the crowd believes information isn’t fully priced into the sportsbook’s lines, or vice versa. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to new information or breaking news related to the teams.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will climb. Conversely, if sentiment shifts towards a different outcome, the corresponding shares will become cheaper. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving expectations of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Scottish football match between Hill of Beath Hawthorn FC and Glasgow University FC will be used to determine the winning share. The resolution will be based on the official match result, as reported by a reputable sports news source. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their shareholdings in the winning outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, updates on team form, tactical changes, or even pre-match interviews with key players could all impact the perceived probabilities. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams or their rivals might also cause a reassessment of the odds. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.