TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 07d:17h:48m
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Each market tracks whether a specific NFL team will finish as the highest-scoring offense in Week 9 of the 2026-27 regular season. Outcomes are determined solely by total points scored during that week's games, with special payout adjustments if multiple teams tie for the top score.
All markets resolve based on determining which NFL team scores the most points in Week 9 of the 2026-27 regular season. If the listed team achieves this outcome, its "Yes" positions resolve favorably. When multiple teams tie for the highest score, all "Yes" positions across affected markets pay a reduced payout of $1 divided by the number of tied teams (rounded down to the nearest cent), while all "No" positions pay the complement (1 minus the "Yes" payout). This tied-outcome adjustment applies uniformly across all team-specific markets, ensuring proportional returns based on the final point distribution. The governing league's official scoring records are the sole authority for resolution.
Generally, prediction markets like this one often reflect information and insights that differ from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, and may adjust based on liabilities or public perception. This market, however, is driven by individuals directly putting their capital behind their beliefs about which team will score the most points. As a result, the odds on Kalshi can sometimes diverge from sportsbook lines, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome of the NFL Week 9 games. It’s a way to gauge what informed bettors believe, rather than what a bookmaker *wants* to happen.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each team winning. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that team having the highest score in Week 9, as perceived by the market. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information from a diverse set of participants, leading to probabilities that can differ from pre-game expectations or expert analysis. The current price indicates the market’s collective assessment of each team’s chances.
This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team with the highest total score across all games played in NFL Week 9 will be determined as the winner. The resolution will be based on official NFL statistics and game results. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their contract positions on Kalshi after the official results are verified. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Unexpected injuries to key players on any of the teams, particularly quarterbacks or star offensive players, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, especially for outdoor games, could also influence predictions. Significant news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions might also move the market. Finally, as game day approaches, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sources could lead to adjustments in the perceived probabilities, and therefore, the prices on Kalshi.