TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 07d:17h:47m
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This set of markets focuses on determining which specific professional football game will end with the highest combined score of both teams during a particular week of the season. Each market corresponds to a different matchup, allowing participants to speculate on which game will feature the most points scored by both teams combined.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified Pro Football game, scheduled for the dates indicated in each rule, records the highest total points scored among all games in Week 9 of the 2026-27 regular season. If a single game has the highest total points, all 'Yes' positions for that specific market will pay out in full, and all 'No' positions will receive nothing. If multiple games are tied for the highest total points, 'Yes' positions for each tied game will pay a prorated amount of $1 divided by the number of tied games (rounded down to the nearest cent), while 'No' positions across all markets will pay an amount equal to one minus the 'Yes' payout for their respective markets. These rules apply uniformly across all individual game markets for Week 9.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges – like player injuries or weather forecasts – and is incorporated into trading activity. While sportsbooks may adjust their lines closer to game time, this market continuously updates based on real-time trading, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome than traditional betting outlets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about which game will have the highest score. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as game day approaches. The current price indicates the implied probability of a specific game achieving the highest score.
This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on the final scores of all NFL games played during Week 9. The game with the highest combined score will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on official NFL data and will be independently verified to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligns with the verified results of the Week 9 games.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift prices in this market. Significant news regarding key player injuries for teams expected to score highly would be a major catalyst. Unexpected weather forecasts, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also impact scoring potential and move the market. Late-breaking news about coaching changes or strategic adjustments could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could signal shifts in sentiment and drive price movements as traders react to new information or insights.