TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Hibernian vs Falkirk: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Hibernian vs Falkirk?

Volume:
$4,874

Falkirk wins by more than 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Falkirk wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 11:51 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Falkirk wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,735
N/A
N/A
$1,087
Settled
No
kalshi

Hibernian wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,519
N/A
N/A
$1,519
Settled
No
kalshi

Hibernian wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,292
N/A
N/A
$1,292
Settled
No
kalshi

Falkirk wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$328
N/A
N/A
$325
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Hibernian and Falkirk, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Hibernian vs Falkirk Scottish Premiership match scheduled for October 17, 2026. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty outcomes are excluded. Four distinct outcome categories exist: Hibernian winning by more than 2.5 goals, Hibernian winning by more than 1.5 goals, Falkirk winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Falkirk winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each category resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified team achieves the corresponding goal-differential victory. The structure allows participants to assess varying confidence levels in either team's dominance. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Hibernian vs Falkirk match tracks the current price of contracts representing different outcomes in this spread market. You’ll find a price history chart displaying how the price has fluctuated over time, giving insight into market sentiment. The dashboard also shows the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $4,573, and the total overall volume traded to date, which is $4,874. This provides a clear picture of how actively traders are participating in this market.

Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available leading up to the event.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts representing a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the evolving expectations of participants. The current price reflects what traders believe is the fair probability of the spread being as predicted.

This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread result of the Hibernian vs Falkirk match as officially recorded by sporting authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders will then receive their payouts based on their positions in this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Hibernian or Falkirk could significantly shift expectations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Unexpected announcements related to team management or player availability would likely cause the market to react. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of the spread outcome has the potential to move this market.