TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:58 AM EST
Kalshi
A third Scottish Premiership encounter sees two teams facing off, with the match outcome settled by comparing goals scored during regular play time. The final standing will reflect either one team's superiority or an even contest.
The market resolves based on the result of the Hibernian vs Falkirk professional Scottish Premiership soccer game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Hibernian wins, the "Hibernian" market resolves to Yes. If Falkirk wins, the "Falkirk" market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the "Tie" market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their pricing, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful, as they reveal varying perspectives on the likelihood of each result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume provide insights into the level of confidence traders have in each possibility, and the price movements indicate shifts in expectations as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hibernian vs Falkirk match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Hibernian or Falkirk could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, public opinion and analysis from sports commentators might impact trading activity. Major upsets in other related matches or significant tactical adjustments announced by either team could also lead to price movements in this market.