TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored during a soccer match between Hibernian and Dundee FC. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams within the standard match duration.
The event evaluates whether the total goals scored by both Hibernian and Dundee FC in their professional Scottish Premiership match exceed sequentially higher thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals). Resolution occurs based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. All markets share the same underlying condition — the total goals count — but resolve differently depending on the threshold specified. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi is not officially affiliated with the league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially as more information becomes available closer to the event. However, sportsbook odds may initially move more quickly to incorporate breaking news, while this market's price changes are driven by trading activity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, various total goal counts for the Hibernian vs Dundee match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the expected goals scored. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final outcome and trading contracts at favorable prices.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final goal tally from the Hibernian vs Dundee FC match will be used to determine which contracts payout. The resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals scored will receive a payout as determined by the market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Hibernian or Dundee FC would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the game, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking team news, tactical announcements from the managers, or even significant shifts in public opinion based on pre-match analysis could all contribute to fluctuations in the price of contracts in this market.