TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Hibernian and Dundee FC, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Hibernian vs Dundee FC match scheduled for October 31, 2026, with all resolutions based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Four distinct outcome categories exist: Hibernian winning by more than 2.5 goals, Hibernian winning by more than 1.5 goals, Dundee winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Dundee winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each category resolves to 'Yes' if the specified condition is met; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' All markets are independent assessments of possible score margins and are not affiliated with the official league governing body. Trademarks and branding belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks may set initial lines to attract action, while this market allows traders to dynamically adjust probabilities based on new information and analysis. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news related to team form or player availability. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the market believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the probability of various outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Hibernian vs Dundee match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the market's expectations. The current price indicates the market's collective forecast for the spread in this game.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Hibernian vs Dundee match as officially recorded by sporting authorities. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the final score. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the market's pricing at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Hibernian or Dundee FC would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or significant team news could also move the market. Furthermore, major betting patterns or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and shift the odds as traders react to new information.