TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Hibernian and Celtic, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the goal differential between Hibernian and Celtic in their scheduled Scottish Premiership match on October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Hibernian wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, the market resolves accordingly. Similarly, if Celtic wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals, the market resolves positively for that outcome. All resolutions exclude extra time and penalty phases, focusing solely on regular time results. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders willing to put their money where their mouth is. Typically, you’ll find that prediction markets are more efficient at incorporating new information quickly, especially if that information isn’t widely known. However, sportsbook odds can be a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies between the two can sometimes present opportunities for arbitrage or informed trading.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more people trade, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential results of the Hibernian vs Celtic match. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Hibernian vs Celtic match, specifically the spread. The official result, as reported by recognized sports data providers, will determine the winning contracts. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to ensure you understand the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, as could major announcements related to the clubs or the Scottish Premiership. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence the price. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves leading up to the final whistle.