TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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HFX Wanderers FC vs. Cavalry FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of HFX Wanderers FC vs. Cavalry FC?

Volume:
$503,004

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 6:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$155,117
N/A
N/A
$62,850
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (HFX Wanderers FC vs. Cavalry FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,946
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cavalry

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$252,136
N/A
N/A
$112,024
Settled
No
polymarket

Cavalry FC

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,236
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

HFX

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$80,218
N/A
N/A
$52,210
Settled
No
polymarket

HFX Wanderers FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,350
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Canadian Premier League soccer match between HFX Wanderers FC and Cavalry FC, scheduled for October 12, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of the game ending in a draw is 100.0%, as aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. The resolution source for this market is https://www.cplsoccer.com/. A secondary outcome, Cavalry FC winning on October 12, 2026, currently has a probability of 0.1%. Keep an eye on the match result itself on October 12, 2026, as that will determine final settlement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly defines resolution for canceled games, while Kalshi does not, creating ambiguity.Hero tip: Consider the cancellation risk when trading on Kalshi, as the outcome may be less certain than on Polymarket if the game is called off.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If canceled with no make-up game, win/loss markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit mention of cancellation handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Canadian Premier League game, scheduled for Monday, October 12, 2026 between HFX Wanderers FC and Cavalry FC.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of a Canadian Premier League soccer match scheduled for October 12, 2026, between HFX and Cavalry, based solely on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If HFX secures a victory within this timeframe, the 'HFX' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Cavalry achieves the win under the same conditions, the 'Cavalry' market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the platform's guidelines. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the HFX Wanderers FC vs. Cavalry FC match within the Canadian Premier League. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $503,004, with $333,647 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see how the crowd is pricing the probability of different results. The dashboard provides a unified view of the market, aggregating data from multiple sources to give a comprehensive overview of predictions for this event. This is a key resource for anyone interested in the Canadian Premier League market.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while prediction markets rely on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. This market’s odds reflect the aggregated beliefs of participants, potentially incorporating information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. As more information becomes available, prediction market prices can move more quickly and efficiently than sportsbook odds, offering a potentially more accurate signal.