TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Canadian Premier League soccer match between HFX and FC Supra Du Quebec. The result will be determined based on the final score after the regulation 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The market will reflect whether either team wins or if the match ends in a tie within this timeframe.
The event resolves based on the result of the HFX vs FC Supra Du Quebec professional Canadian Premier League soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the match within regulation time; a separate market resolves to Yes if the match ends in a tie after regulation. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following defined procedures. The resolution excludes outcomes determined during extra time or penalty kicks, focusing solely on the result at the end of regulation time.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public perception diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. It's common to see this market incorporate information and analysis that isn't immediately reflected in sportsbook lines, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and changing sentiment. The current prices represent the best available offers from buyers and sellers on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the HFX vs FC Supra match, as reported by official league sources. The final score and winner will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders will be able to see the final settlement details on Kalshi once the resolution process is complete, and payouts will be processed accordingly.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements could also play a role. Major upsets in related matches or changes in public sentiment, driven by media coverage or social media discussions, could also impact trading activity. Essentially, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either team winning the HFX vs FC Supra match has the potential to move the market.