TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 9:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Bundesliga 2 soccer match between Hertha and Greuther Furth. The result will be determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve according to whether Hertha wins, Greuther Furth wins, or the match ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Hertha vs Greuther Furth professional Bundesliga 2 soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Hertha resolves the 'Hertha' market to Yes; a win for Greuther Furth resolves the 'Greuther Furth' market to Yes; and a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution, as only the result after regular time and stoppage time counts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their pricing, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the perceived probabilities of different outcomes in the Hertha vs Greuther Furth match, and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Hertha vs Greuther Furth match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of market sentiment. The goal is to converge towards the true probability of each outcome as the event approaches, with traders attempting to profit by accurately predicting the result.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Hertha vs Greuther Furth match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official result will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events based on the verified result. It's important to monitor official sources for the final confirmation.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Hertha or Greuther Furth could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could also shift market sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns at sportsbooks, might also cause traders to reassess their positions and adjust their bids in this market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential price movements.