TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 8:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Bundesliga 2 soccer match between Hertha and Bielefeld. The result will be determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve according to whether Hertha wins, Bielefeld wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Hertha vs Bielefeld professional Bundesliga 2 soccer match originally scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Hertha win, Bielefeld win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result within regular time plus stoppage time.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the larger number of participants contributing to the prediction market. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially exceeding the responsiveness of sportsbook odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Hertha vs Bielefeld match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The contracts are valued between 0 and 100, representing the percentage chance of the outcome happening, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Hertha vs Bielefeld match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the result against established sports data providers to ensure accuracy. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout of 100 minus the commission, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or tactical changes could also cause significant price movements. Public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analyses, might also play a role, though the market isn't solely driven by external forecasts. Major upsets in related matches or broader sporting events could indirectly affect the perceived probabilities.