TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:19h:38m
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In the upcoming match between Hertha BSC and VfL Wolfsburg, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Hertha BSC" if Hertha BSC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "VfL Wolfsburg" if VfL Wolfsburg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Hertha BSC and VfL Wolfsburg, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Hertha BSC" if Hertha BSC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "VfL Wolfsburg" if VfL Wolfsburg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one team, but this market shows a more even split, it could indicate disagreement with the sportsbook's assessment. It's common to see prediction markets offering more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards a collective assessment of the likelihood of either Hertha BSC or VfL Wolfsburg scoring first. The current top outcome, Hertha BSC to score first, has a chance percentage of 50.5% according to traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Hertha BSC versus VfL Wolfsburg match. Official match data will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any potential delays or postponements of the match may affect the resolution timeline, but the outcome will always be based on the official result as recorded by recognized sports authorities.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Hertha BSC or VfL Wolfsburg would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements shortly before kickoff are also a common catalyst for movement. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team scoring first has the potential to move this market.