TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:55 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Hertha BSC and SpVgg Greuther Fürth, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Hertha BSC" if Hertha BSC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SpVgg Greuther Fürth" if SpVgg Greuther Fürth are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Hertha BSC and SpVgg Greuther Fürth, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Hertha BSC" if Hertha BSC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SpVgg Greuther Fürth" if SpVgg Greuther Fürth are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, you may find that the implied probabilities in this market adjust more rapidly to new information or changing sentiment than those offered by sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches and more traders participate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the collective expectation of who will score first. A higher price for Hertha BSC shares suggests a stronger belief that they will score the opening goal, while a higher price for SpVgg Greuther Fürth shares indicates the opposite. The market dynamically adjusts as traders exchange positions.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team—Hertha BSC or SpVgg Greuther Fürth—scores the first goal in the match. Official match data will be used to determine the winner. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the game.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Hertha BSC or SpVgg Greuther Fürth would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis highlighting a specific team's attacking prowess could also trigger price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.