TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:58 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Hertha BSC and DSC Arminia Bielefeld, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Hertha BSC" if Hertha BSC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "DSC Arminia Bielefeld" if DSC Arminia Bielefeld are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Hertha BSC and DSC Arminia Bielefeld, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Hertha BSC" if Hertha BSC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "DSC Arminia Bielefeld" if DSC Arminia Bielefeld are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, biases, or simply varying levels of market participation. It’s common to see prediction markets react faster to new information than sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular team scoring first, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information as traders respond to news, injuries, and other relevant factors, constantly updating the perceived likelihood of each team taking the early lead.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—Hertha BSC or DSC Arminia Bielefeld—scores the first goal in the match. Official match reports and widely recognized sports news sources will be used to verify the result. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, and any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures for verifying event outcomes.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Hertha BSC or DSC Arminia Bielefeld would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as recent match results or tactical adjustments, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match announcements about starting lineups, could trigger movement. Finally, any significant public endorsements or analysis predicting a specific outcome could sway the market’s direction.