TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 3:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Heracles Almelo and Waalwijk. Bettors can speculate on whether Heracles Almelo will win, Waalwijk will win, or if the game will end in a tie. The result is determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event involves determining the winner of a professional Eerste Divisie soccer match between Heracles Almelo and Waalwijk scheduled for October 9, 2026. Three distinct markets resolve based on the match outcome after 90 minutes of regular play, excluding extra time or penalties. If Heracles Almelo secures a victory, the 'Heracles Almelo' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, a Waalwijk win resolves the 'Waalwijk' market to Yes. Should the game conclude with an equal score, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The resolution strictly considers the result within regular time, with no account for post-match proceedings such as extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a relatively small number of experts, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, although it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heracles vs Waalwijk match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The specific outcome that triggers settlement will depend on the contract purchased, reflecting whether a particular result occurred during the game. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results are verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 9, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Furthermore, public perception and analysis from sports commentators can impact trading activity. A surprising result in a related match or a major upset in another league could also indirectly influence how traders assess the probabilities in this market, leading to price fluctuations.