TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Heracles Almelo
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Kalshi
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 2, 2026
$
This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Heracles Almelo and TOP Oss scheduled for November 2, 2026. Markets exist for Heracles Almelo winning, TOP Oss winning, or the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming Netherlands Eerste Divisie game, scheduled for Monday, November 2, 2026 between Heracles Almelo and TOP Oss.
The event determines the winner of a professional Eerste Divisie soccer match between Heracles Almelo and Oss scheduled for November 2, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Heracles Almelo wins, Oss wins, or the match ends in a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price according to the platform’s guidelines. The resolution is strictly based on the official match result as recognized by the governing league, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of related trademarks and branding.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient, particularly when a significant amount of volume is traded. While sportsbooks may initially react to news, this market can quickly incorporate a wider range of information and expert opinions, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the likely result.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors, including differences in user base, trading fees, and market-specific liquidity. Polymarket may attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to varying interpretations of the same information. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform can influence price discovery; a larger volume generally leads to more stable and accurate odds. The differing interfaces and trading mechanisms on each platform also contribute to these price discrepancies, even though both are ultimately tracking the same event – the Heracles Almelo vs. TOP Oss match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Heracles Almelo vs. TOP Oss match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will aggregate data from trusted sources to verify the final score and settle this market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result as the resolution date approaches, ensuring clarity on the final outcome and the market’s settlement.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 2, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Heracles Almelo or TOP Oss would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, any news regarding managerial changes, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will be reflected in the trading activity on Polymarket and Kalshi.