TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Heracles Almelo
- Kalshi
Heracles Almelo - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 6, 2026
Time left: 04d:00h:49m
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This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Heracles Almelo and Roda, focusing on who wins in regular time. Bettors can speculate on either team securing a victory or the game ending in a draw within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Heracles Almelo vs Roda professional Eerste Divisie soccer match scheduled for November 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If Heracles Almelo wins, that specific market resolves to Yes; if Roda wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks due to the different incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when a lot of information isn't widely available. It’s common to see discrepancies, with this market potentially offering a different perspective than traditional betting outlets on the likely result of the Heracles Almelo vs Roda match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and information, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This creates a constantly updating estimate of the event's probability.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Heracles Almelo vs Roda match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions based on the verified result of the match.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before the Nov 6, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or tactical changes could also cause significant shifts in the odds. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations, as traders react to perceived new information or changing market conditions surrounding the Heracles Almelo vs Roda match.