TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 9:32 AM EST
Kalshi
Two Chinese Super League teams compete in a high-stakes match where the outcome determines winners based solely on the final score after regulation time.
The market resolves based on the result of the Henan vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger professional Chinese Super League soccer game scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Henan wins, the 'Henan' market resolves to Yes; if Tianjin Jinmen Tiger wins, the 'Tianjin Jinmen Tiger' market resolves to Yes; if the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk, factoring in a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by participants’ beliefs about the outcome. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated accuracy in forecasting event outcomes, sometimes outperforming traditional polls or analyst predictions. It's important to consider that both represent different perspectives on the probability of the Henan vs Tianjin match result.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Henan vs Tianjin match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 16, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Henan or Tianjin could significantly shift expectations. Changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also impact the market. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or strategic changes are likely to trigger trading activity. Any significant information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely cause movement in this market.