TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:47 AM EST
Polymarket
This prediction group covers various spread and over/under markets for the Henan FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC Chinese Super League match on October 24th. Markets include point spreads for both teams, total goals over/unders, and whether each team will score a certain number of goals, both for the full game and the first half.
More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for October 24 at 3:30 AM ET.
More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for October 24 at 3:30 AM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those seen on Polymarket and Predict for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. This can differ from sportsbook odds, which are typically set by a smaller number of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like house bias or perceived public betting patterns, while prediction markets tend to aggregate information from a wider range of sources. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of an event, and discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage or informed betting.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict can arise due to several factors. Differences in user base, trading volume, and market-making activity all contribute to varying price discovery processes. Polymarket might attract a different type of trader than Predict, leading to differing interpretations of available information. Additionally, liquidity can vary significantly between the two platforms, impacting how quickly prices react to new information and potentially causing temporary divergences in the odds for the Henan vs. Beijing football match.