TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 6:47 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Hellas Verona FC and US Catanzaro 1929, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Hellas Verona FC" if Hellas Verona FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "US Catanzaro 1929" if US Catanzaro 1929 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Hellas Verona FC and US Catanzaro 1929, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Hellas Verona FC" if Hellas Verona FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "US Catanzaro 1929" if US Catanzaro 1929 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market represents the collective beliefs of individual traders. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a first goalscorer, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket. This can lead to odds on Polymarket diverging from those offered by sportsbooks, potentially offering value to savvy bettors who identify discrepancies.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about which team will score first. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares is determined by supply and demand; if many traders believe Hellas Verona will score first, the price of shares representing that outcome will rise. Conversely, if traders favor US Catanzaro, their shares will become more expensive.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by which team scores the first goal in the Hellas Verona vs. US Catanzaro match. If no goals are scored, the market will resolve as 'No Goal Scored'. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources, ensuring an accurate and transparent outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several signals could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Hellas Verona or US Catanzaro would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts suggesting a change in the perceived probability of either team scoring first could drive trading volume and alter the odds on Polymarket.