TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Hel Valerii and Sapuzhak Oleh in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 18 at 2:25PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hel Valerii' if Hel Valerii wins against Sapuzhak Oleh. This market will resolve to 'Sapuzhak Oleh' if Sapuzhak Oleh wins against Hel Valerii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Hel Valerii and Sapuzhak Oleh in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 18 at 2:25PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hel Valerii' if Hel Valerii wins against Sapuzhak Oleh. This market will resolve to 'Sapuzhak Oleh' if Sapuzhak Oleh wins against Hel Valerii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If there’s a significant difference between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information isn’t yet reflected in traditional betting lines. This comparison can be a valuable tool for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive up its price, indicating a greater perceived likelihood of that outcome. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Valerii vs. Sapuzhak fight, as determined by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome of the fight.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s location or rules could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, general trends in fighter performance or public opinion, as reflected in social media and sports news, may impact trading activity and ultimately alter the probabilities reflected in this market. Monitoring these factors is key to understanding potential market movements.