TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an Eredivisie soccer match between Heerenveen and Nijmegen, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold set by each market rule. The contest concludes based on the official match result after regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the Heerenveen vs Nijmegen Eredivisie match scheduled for October 31, 2026, each defined by a specific goal-differential threshold for either team to win by. All markets resolve based solely on the official result after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. A 'Yes' outcome occurs only if the stated condition — Heerenveen winning by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or Nijmegen winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals — is satisfied. If none of these conditions are met, all markets resolve to 'No'. The rules clarify that the platform bears no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially surpassing the responsiveness of fixed sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the final spread of the Heerenveen vs Nijmegen match, as determined by official match results. The market will settle to 100 if the spread matches the contract's prediction, and to 0 otherwise. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Heerenveen or Nijmegen would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to team management or key personnel could also shift the odds. Any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths will likely be reflected in the price of contracts for this market.