TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 3:57 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Heerenveen and Excelsior will have its total goals counted after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Bets will pay out based on whether the total goals exceed various thresholds.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams combined in the professional Eredivisie soccer game between Heerenveen and Excelsior, scheduled for October 16, 2026. The resolution occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty shootout goals excluded from the count. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., Over 0.5, Over 1.5, etc.), and if the total goals exceed that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individual predictions. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the perceived probabilities surrounding the total goals in the Heerenveen vs Excelsior match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, meaning that increased buying pressure will raise the price, while increased selling pressure will lower it. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Heerenveen vs Excelsior match will be the determining factor. Any goals scored during regulation time or added time will be counted towards the final tally. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Heerenveen or Excelsior would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected goal total. Additionally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert predictions regarding the match outcome could drive trading activity and alter the price of this market. Team formations and tactical approaches announced before the match could also be influential.