TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:12 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an Eredivisie Vrouwen soccer match between Heerenveen and Alkmaar. The result is determined by which team wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If neither team wins during this period, the match ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Heerenveen vs Alkmaar professional Eredivisie Vrouwen soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Heerenveen wins under Rule 1, Alkmaar wins under Rule 2, or the match ends in a tie under Rule 3. All markets share a common secondary rule: if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, it will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers regular-time results, with no account for extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. As a result, you may find that prediction market prices incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbooks, or react more quickly to breaking news. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches and more traders participate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The current volume of $14,158 shows how actively this market is being traded, and the price movements reflect the evolving expectations of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heerenveen vs Alkmaar match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, as could any controversies or off-field events affecting team morale. Major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting patterns and media coverage, will also contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.