TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Heat vs. Warriors
polymarket
predict
kalshi
opinion

Who will win Heat vs Warriors?

Total volume:
$212
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$36,711
25%
Open interest:
$133
13%

Golden State

 - Kalshi

Golden State - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:04h:02m

Golden State wins

57%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 72¢ buys you 139 shares | Odds: 57% Total Payout: $139 | Net Profit: $39 Multiplier: 1.39x | ROI: 39% APY not meaningful 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Golden State

Trade
57%
Yes 72¢No 43¢
15¢
N/A
$99
N/A
N/A
$85
3d 4h 2m
Active
kalshi

Miami

Trade
45%
Yes 45¢No 72¢
17¢
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
$48
3d 4h 2m
Active
polymarket

Heat vs. Warriors

Trade
41%
Yes 53¢No 71¢
24¢
$17,259
$26
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 1h 2m
Active
opinion

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 1h 2m
Active
predict

Heat vs. Warriors

Trade
N/A
N/A
46¢
$6,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 4h 2m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
41%
Yes 53¢No 71¢
Avg: 35¢Max: 46¢
polymarket

Team to Score First

Trade
50%
Yes 98¢No 98¢
96¢
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 1h 2m
Active
polymarket

Odd/Even Score

Trade
50%
1%
Yes 72¢No 72¢
44¢
$13,426
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 1h 2m
Active
polymarket

Overtime?

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 1h 2m
Active
polymarket

Race to 10

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 1h 2m
Active
polymarket

Race to 20

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 1h 2m
Active
polymarket

Race to 30

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 1h 2m
Active
Total markets: 11

Description

This group resolves to the outcome of a Miami Heat vs. Golden State Warriors NBA game scheduled for November 6, 2026. Markets cover the winner of the game, as well as various in-game events like first team to score, race to point totals, and whether the game goes to overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same resolution source (NBA.com) and define the win condition as the team with the highest final score, including overtime, with a consistent 50-50 split for cancellations or abandonment.Primary resolution logic: https://www.nba.com/

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to 'Miami Heat' if the Miami Heat win the game.
  • The market resolves to 'Golden State Warriors' if the Golden State Warriors win the game.
  • The result is based on the final score, including any overtime periods.
  • If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed.
  • Abandonment: If the game is abandoned without an official result by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves 50-50.
Timing: Resolution will occur once the official final score is published on https://www.nba.com/Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBA game between Heat and Warriors, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Resolution depends on the official result of the Miami vs Golden State professional basketball game scheduled for November 5, 2026. Should the game be postponed but begin within 48 hours of its original start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the final score. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not connected with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Predict

In the upcoming NBA game between Heat and Warriors, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Opinion

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC: If the Miami Heat win, the market will resolve to "Miami Heat". If the Golden State Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Warriors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Opinion, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Heat-Warriors matchup. Currently, the total volume across both platforms is $212, with $212 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see how predictions are evolving and compare opinions across different venues. The dashboard aggregates data to provide a comprehensive overview of the probabilities associated with various outcomes in the Heat-Warriors matchup, offering a unique perspective beyond traditional sports betting markets. It’s a valuable resource for anyone interested in the wisdom of the crowd.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Opinion, often reflect a different kind of information than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective beliefs of traders who have 'skin in the game'. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may be more sensitive to nuanced information or late-breaking news. It's common to see differences in implied probabilities, with this market potentially offering a more accurate forecast of the Heat-Warriors matchup, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heat-Warriors game, as determined by official league statistics. We rely on publicly available data to verify the outcome and ensure a transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified result of this market.

Several signals could influence the price of this market before Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or significant performance shifts could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Major media coverage or expert analysis predicting a change in the game's dynamics might also shift the odds. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely move the market.