TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 9:52 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks which team—the Heat or the Raptors—will score first in their upcoming NBA game. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Heat vs. Raptors: Team to Score First”. Resolution will be determined by the official game results reported on https://www.nba.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 3 at 7:00PM ET, as the first team to score will immediately resolve this market.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 3 at 7:00PM ET: If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the game's potential result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, reflecting the collective intelligence of its users.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heat versus Raptors game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game result as this will be the basis for settlement.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Heat or the Raptors would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected coaching decisions or significant shifts in team performance leading up to the game could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could sway traders’ opinions, leading to changes in the implied probabilities reflected in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.