This event group covers the NBA game between the Miami Heat and Atlanta Hawks scheduled for February 20, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spreads, totals, player props (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half variants across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use identical resolution sources (official NBA box score), consistent postponement logic (remain open), consistent cancellation logic (50-50 split), and aligned threshold interpretation across moneyline, spread, total, and player prop markets.
Primary resolution logic:
Official NBA box score as published on NBA.com
Core resolution logic:
Moneyline (Heat vs Hawks): Resolves to the team with the higher final score including all overtime periods
Spread markets: Heat spread resolves Yes if Heat win by the specified margin or greater (e.g., -3.5 requires 4+ point win); otherwise resolves to Hawks
Total markets: Resolves Over if combined team score meets or exceeds the threshold plus one (e.g., O/U 243.5 resolves Over at 244+); resolves Under if below threshold
Player prop markets: Resolves Yes if player exceeds the stated threshold (e.g., >21.5 points); resolves No if player scores at or below threshold or is listed inactive
Postponement: All markets remain open until game completion
Cancellation with no makeup: All markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Tied final score: Spread markets resolve to Hawks (the non-favored team); moneyline would not occur as one team must win in NBA
Player inactivity: All player prop markets (points, rebounds, assists) resolve No if the player is listed as inactive or does not take the court
Halftime tie: First-half moneyline and first-half spread markets resolve 50-50 if teams are tied at halftime
Game postponement: All markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on a future date
Game cancellation without makeup: All markets across both platforms resolve 50-50
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the final buzzer of the game (including any overtime periods) when the official NBA box score is published on NBA.com. First-half markets resolve at halftime. Postponed games remain open until completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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