TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Scottish Premiership soccer match between Heart of Midlothian and St. Mirren. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the match exceeds that threshold. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
The markets resolve based on whether the total number of goals scored by both teams combined in the Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren Scottish Premiership match scheduled for October 10, 2026, exceeds specified thresholds ranging from 0.5 to 5.5 goals. The resolution occurs after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty shootout goals excluded from consideration. Each market has a unique threshold, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the actual total goals exceed that threshold; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks and branding.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how the wisdom of the crowd differs from the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market reflects the collective beliefs of individual traders. Often, you'll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, potential injuries, or even subjective factors influencing the game's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally of the Heart of Midlothian versus St. Mirren match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics, determining whether the total goals scored fall into one of the predefined contract categories. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100, while those holding losing contracts will receive nothing. The final score will be the definitive factor in determining the market's resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Heart of Midlothian or St. Mirren would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact predictions. Weather conditions on match day, particularly heavy rain or strong winds, might affect the expected goal total. Even public sentiment, reflected in social media discussions and expert analysis, could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.