TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 6:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Scottish Premiership soccer match between Heart of Midlothian and Rangers. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated offensive performance of both teams within the standard match duration.
The event evaluates multiple threshold-based outcomes for the total goals scored in the Heart of Midlothian versus Rangers Scottish Premiership match scheduled for October 28, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals exceed a specified half-goal increment ranging from 0.5 to 5.5 goals, counted after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners. The resolution relies solely on official match records from the professional Scottish Premiership.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market’s pricing is driven by traders’ willingness to buy or sell contracts. If a significant number of traders believe a certain outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of that contract will rise, potentially offering better value than traditional sports betting options. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing information or risk assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. When more traders want to buy a contract (believing that outcome is likely), the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective prediction of all participants regarding the total goals scored in the match, providing a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official total goals scored in the Heart of Midlothian versus Rangers match, as reported by the official league sources. The final score will determine which contracts pay out, and the payout amount will correspond to the contract’s price at resolution. Traders holding winning contracts will receive their payout based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Heart of Midlothian or Rangers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis from reputable football analysts suggesting a higher or lower likelihood of goals could drive trading activity and affect contract prices. Team form and recent scoring records are also key signals.