TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Scotland's top league. Bettors can speculate on whether one team will secure a victory or if the game will end evenly based on the final score after regular time.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Heart of Midlothian vs Rangers Scottish Premiership match scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins in the corresponding market, or if the match concludes in a tie for the 'Tie' market. If the game is cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours, the market resolves at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The event exclusively considers regular time results, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated an ability to be more accurate than polls or initial sportsbook lines, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds remain a valuable point of comparison when evaluating potential trading opportunities in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and interest in each possible result for the Heart of Midlothian versus Rangers game.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heart of Midlothian versus Rangers match in the Scottish Premiership. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 28, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Heart of Midlothian or Rangers would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also impact trader sentiment. News regarding managerial decisions, tactical changes, or even weather conditions on match day could all contribute to price movements. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning is likely to be reflected in the market price.