TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Heart of Midlothian and Hibernian in the Scottish League Cup. The resolution depends solely on which team wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie, a separate outcome is designated.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Heart of Midlothian vs Hibernian professional Scottish League Cup soccer match scheduled for November 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome resolves for the specific team market if that team wins the match within regular time, while the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution, as only the result after regular time counts. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The markets are independent of any official affiliations with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see this market odds move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the potential result of the Scottish Premiership derby.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. These prices are dynamic and can change rapidly based on trading activity, making it a real-time assessment of expectations for the Scottish Premiership derby.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heart of Midlothian versus Hibernian match in the Scottish Premiership. The platform will verify the final score against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the verified result.
Several factors could significantly shift the odds for this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Heart of Midlothian or Hibernian would likely cause movement. Managerial decisions, tactical changes announced before the match, or even significant weather forecasts could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, unexpected results in other Scottish Premiership matches impacting team morale or league standings could also play a role in how this market behaves leading up to Nov 1, 2026.