TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:17h:46m
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This group forecasts the outcome of a Scottish Premiership soccer match between Heart of Midlothian FC and Falkirk FC on November 8, 2026. Markets exist for Heart of Midlothian winning, Falkirk winning, or the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming Scottish Premiership game, scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 between Heart of Midlothian FC and Falkirk FC.
The event resolves based on the result of the Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk professional Scottish Premiership soccer match originally scheduled for November 8, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome for each respective market occurs if the named team wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the event rules. The resolution strictly adheres to the official match result as recognized by the governing league, with no affiliation or endorsement implied from Kalshi or its connection to the league or its trademarks.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many independent traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when there's significant public interest. However, sportsbooks typically offer a wider range of betting options, and may have different limitations on bet sizes. The current volume in this market is $0, indicating a moderate level of interest.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Additionally, differing risk appetites among traders on each platform can lead to variations in the odds. For example, Polymarket currently favors Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-11-08? at 65.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Heart of Midlothian wins at 67.0%. These differences reflect the unique dynamics of each market and the information traders prioritize.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heart of Midlothian FC versus Falkirk FC match in the Scottish Cup. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome occurred. The final price will reflect the actual result of the match, and traders will be paid out based on their positions in this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 8, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Heart of Midlothian FC or Falkirk FC would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected changes in team form, managerial decisions, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, any news regarding potential rule changes affecting the Scottish Cup competition could move the market. Monitoring team news, expert analysis, and overall public perception will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.