TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 8:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Hawthorn Hawks and Brisbane Lions, scheduled for October 10 at 10:05PM ET. This market will resolve to "Hawthorn Hawks" if Hawthorn Hawks is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Brisbane Lions" if Brisbane Lions is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Hawthorn Hawks and Brisbane Lions, scheduled for October 10 at 10:05PM ET. This market will resolve to "Hawthorn Hawks" if Hawthorn Hawks is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Brisbane Lions" if Brisbane Lions is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the collective intelligence of the traders participating, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hawthorn Hawks versus Brisbane Lions AFL match. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome accordingly. Traders who hold shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Hawthorn Hawks or the Brisbane Lions would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions on game day could also impact trader sentiment. Major media coverage or expert analysis predicting a specific outcome could also drive buying or selling pressure, leading to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.