TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 10:44 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 8 at 8:00PM ET: If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 8 at 8:00PM ET: If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and promotional considerations into their odds, while this market relies purely on individuals wagering their own capital. It's common to see this market odds adjust more rapidly to new information or changing perceptions than sportsbook odds, as the incentive structure encourages quick incorporation of relevant data. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the expected outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds reflect the collective intelligence of those trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on which team scores the first point in the Hawks-Spurs game. The official game statistics will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Hawks or the Spurs would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, general news and analysis surrounding team performance and recent game results could contribute to fluctuations in the market price as traders reassess the probabilities of each team scoring first.