TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 9:53 PM EST
Polymarket
Exact margin markets for Hawks vs. Pelicans.
Exact margin markets for Hawks vs. Pelicans.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probability of various outcomes. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of information, the influence of public opinion, and the incentive structures of each venue. If there's a significant difference between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate an opportunity for informed traders to capitalize on perceived mispricings.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different point differentials in the Hawks-Pelicans game, and the price of each share reflects the collective belief of the market participants regarding the likelihood of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, while increased selling pressure lowers it. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential margin of victory.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point differential of the Hawks-Pelicans game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the official result reported by the NBA, determining which share corresponds to the actual margin of victory. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the market’s pricing at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the game progresses to understand the potential implications for this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Hawks or the Pelicans would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team lineups, coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected performance from players, or significant momentum swings during the game itself, will undoubtedly move the market. Monitoring pre-game reports and live game updates is crucial for understanding the potential catalysts that could affect the pricing in this market.