TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team—the Atlanta Hawks or the Indiana Pacers—will score first in their upcoming NBA game. Currently, the consensus probability favors Hawks vs. Pacers: Team to Score First at 18.0%. This aggregate reflects trading activity from Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the official game results reported by https://www.nba.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 10th, as the opening tip-off will determine the outcome of this market.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 10 at 7:00PM ET: If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
The market resolves to Yes for the Atlanta market if Atlanta wins the game, and to Yes for the Indiana market if Indiana wins. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 10 at 7:00PM ET: If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by individuals wagering their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may more accurately reflect the true probabilities of an event occurring. However, both types of odds are influenced by public perception and available information. This market, like others, can sometimes align closely with sportsbook lines, but often diverges based on unique insights from prediction market participants.
Prices for this market on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in trader demographics, market liquidity, and individual risk assessments. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a unique set of participants with varying levels of expertise and access to information, which can lead to differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Hawks-Pacers game. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform—currently $910,887—can influence price discovery and create temporary discrepancies. These differences are a natural part of decentralized prediction markets.