TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Hawks vs. Mavericks
Volume:
$6,397,275
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 18 at 8:30PM ET: If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market resolves YES for either outcome (Hawks win OR Atlanta wins), creating a logical contradiction where the market cannot resolve NO. Polymarket's markets use standard binary or categorical resolution logic tied to actual game outcomes. This makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable as stated.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2). The resolution criteria state the market resolves YES if 'Dallas wins' OR if 'Atlanta wins' — meaning it resolves YES regardless of the outcome, which is illogical. Polymarket's suite of markets (items 3-83) all use standard, resolvable logic tied to final score, player stats, and halftime results. Trade only on Polymarket markets for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction. The resolution criteria state 'If Dallas wins the Atlanta at Dallas professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Atlanta wins the Atlanta at Dallas professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES for every possible outcome, making NO resolution impossible and rendering the market unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard market logic: Polymarket's 82 markets all use clear, mutually exclusive resolution criteria tied to actual game outcomes (final score, player statistics, halftime results, spreads, and totals). Each market has a defined YES and NO outcome. For example, the Hawks vs. Mavericks moneyline resolves to 'Hawks' if Hawks win, 'Mavericks' if Mavericks win, with a 50-50 split only if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up. All markets reference the official NBA box score as the resolution source.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.