TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Hawai'i wins by over 9.5 points
- Kalshi
Hawai'i wins by over 9.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 8, 2026
Time left: 05d:01h:35m
$
The outcome depends on the point differential between Hawai'i and UTEP in their scheduled college football game. Specific thresholds determine whether the market resolves positively for either team based on the margin of victory.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Hawai'i vs UTEP college football game scheduled for November 7, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold for Hawai'i or UTEP to win by; if the winning team exceeds the respective threshold, that market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets cover a range of point differentials, from Hawai'i winning by over 1.5 points to UTEP winning by over 13.5 points, allowing participants to bet on varying degrees of victory for either team.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook lines, it may suggest that traders possess information or insights not fully incorporated into sportsbook pricing. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Hawai'i versus UTEP football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the relevant sporting authorities. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual point spread falls within the ranges defined by the contracts available for trading. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market leading up to Nov 8, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Hawai'i or UTEP teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news regarding team morale or coaching decisions might also cause fluctuations. Finally, any large-volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed activity and potentially trigger further price adjustments.