TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a college football game between Hawai'i and Northern Illinois, focusing on which team secures a victory in a scheduled match. The result depends solely on the game's final score, with specific handling for potential delays or cancellations.
The market resolves based on the result of the Hawai'i vs Northern Illinois college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final outcome. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, reflecting the absence of a definitive result. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading contracts, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information advantages held by traders, or simply variations in how risk is assessed. It’s useful to compare the two to identify potential value.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Hawai'i–Northern Illinois game, as officially reported by a trusted source. The platform will verify the result and settle all outstanding contracts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the game's outcome to understand when the market will be finalized and payouts will be processed.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Hawai'i or Northern Illinois teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s playing style, could also move the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team morale, coaching decisions, or unexpected lineup changes could all influence trader behavior and shift the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, may also play a role in shaping the market’s trajectory.