TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:49 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming college football game between Hawai'i and Arizona State, scheduled for October 10 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Hawai'i" if Hawai'i win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Hawai'i and Arizona State, scheduled for October 10 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Hawai'i" if Hawai'i win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to note that sportsbooks have access to different information, such as injury reports and team news, which can influence their odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Hawai'i-Arizona State game. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a growing belief in its likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand, meaning it’s a direct expression of the crowd’s forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Hawai'i-Arizona State game, as reported by official sources. It’s important to remember that the market’s resolution is dependent on a clear and unambiguous outcome being established. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts to traders holding winning shares at that time.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 11, 2026. Major news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could all shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about game location or conditions could also play a role. Even public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media, can influence trading activity and therefore the market price. Any information that alters perceptions of the teams' relative strengths has the potential to move this market.