TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Hawai'i vs Arizona St.: 1st Half Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Hawai'i vs Arizona St.?

Volume:
$447,210

Arizona St. wins by over 10.5 points

 - Kalshi

Arizona St. wins by over 10.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 12:15 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arizona St. wins by over 10.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$76,140
N/A
N/A
$37,264
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arizona St. wins by over 9.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$61,205
N/A
N/A
$34,838
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arizona St. wins by over 7.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38,260
N/A
N/A
$17,051
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arizona St. wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,197
N/A
N/A
$8,356
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arizona St. wins by over 4.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,928
N/A
N/A
$12,540
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arizona St. wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,725
N/A
N/A
$6,455
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arizona St. wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,828
N/A
N/A
$4,177
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arizona St. wins by over 11.5 points

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$87,071
N/A
N/A
$56,865
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona St. wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,973
N/A
N/A
$32,756
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona St. wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,455
N/A
N/A
$25,138
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona St. wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,309
N/A
N/A
$12,366
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona St. wins by over 27.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,152
N/A
N/A
$4,090
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona St. wins by over 20.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,457
N/A
N/A
$2,715
Settled
No
kalshi

Hawai'i wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,722
N/A
N/A
$2,546
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona St. wins by over 29.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,426
N/A
N/A
$2,379
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona St. wins by over 34.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,600
N/A
N/A
$1,600
Settled
No
kalshi

Hawai'i wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,297
N/A
N/A
$986
Settled
No
kalshi

Hawai'i wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$932
N/A
N/A
$932
Settled
No
kalshi

Hawai'i wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$913
N/A
N/A
$836
Settled
No
kalshi

Hawai'i wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$738
N/A
N/A
$738
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona St. wins by over 23.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$733
N/A
N/A
$684
Settled
No
kalshi

Hawai'i wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$610
N/A
N/A
$610
Settled
No
kalshi

Hawai'i wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$537
N/A
N/A
$537
Settled
No
Total markets: 23

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between Hawai'i and Arizona State. Outcomes are determined solely by the score difference at halftime, with various thresholds defining different market resolutions.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the first half of the Hawai'i vs Arizona State college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the designated team's lead exceeds the specified point margin by halftime. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official halftime result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price. Note that only first-half points count toward resolution, regardless of the final full-game outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Hawai'i vs Arizona State spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the first half of the game. You can view the trading history, observe the 24-hour volume of $443,453, and see the total volume traded to date, which is currently $447,210. This allows users to gauge market sentiment and track how predictions are evolving as new information becomes available. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders believe the opening spread will land.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome or a potential arbitrage opportunity. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the correct outcome at the end of the first half. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in each possible spread, and the price movements provide insights into how opinions are shifting.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first-half spread is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the first half of the Hawai'i vs Arizona State football game. The platform will then settle all outstanding contracts based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by each contract. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those on incorrect spreads will forfeit their investment.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. News regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the game's conditions, could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could signal a shift in sentiment and drive price changes in this market.