TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:34 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Arizona State will win its college football game against Hawai'i. Currently, Kalshi gives Arizona State an 89.0% probability of winning, while Hawai'i is at 14.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the Hawai'i vs Arizona St. game, as reported by the game’s official sources. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Hawai'i wins the game originally scheduled for October 10, 2026.
The market resolves to Yes if either Hawai'i or Arizona St. wins their college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market stays open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to attract balanced betting and incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to take either side, leading to probabilities that can diverge from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting action, this market continuously updates based on every trade made on Kalshi, offering a dynamic and potentially more insightful view of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Hawai'i vs Arizona State game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the game’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Hawai'i vs Arizona State game, as officially reported by a trusted sports source, will determine the winning contract. The platform will then settle all outstanding contracts based on the verified outcome. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity—a large volume of trades in one direction—can quickly move the odds. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, might also contribute to changes in the market, though the market itself often proves more accurate than these external indicators.