TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Oregon Ducks (W)
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Hawaii vs Oregon?

Total volume:
$11,232
Volume 24h:
$9,702
2,141%
Liquidity:
$2,557
48,705%
Open interest:
$9,013
69%

Oregon

 - Kalshi

Oregon - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

Time left: 01h:50m:50s

Oregon wins

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Oregon

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$5,083
0%
33,789%
$3,825
1h 50m
Active
kalshi

Hawai'i

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$6,149
302%
N/A
$5,189
1h 50m
Active
polymarket

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Oregon Ducks (W)

Trade
1%
2%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.7¢
—
$2,557
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Active
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors and the Oregon Ducks, scheduled for November 2, 2026. The markets ask whether either team will win the game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Both platforms define a 'Yes' resolution for either team winning, making the market redundant and effectively asking if the game will be completed.Hero tip: Focus on the probability of the game being played, as either team winning will resolve the market to 'Yes'.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market resolves based on the completion of the game between Hawaii and Oregon on November 2nd. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion. If canceled, it resolves 50-50. Question: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Oregon Ducks (W)
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if either Hawaii or Oregon wins the game. If Oregon wins the Hawai'i vs Oregon women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hawai'i wins the Hawai'i vs Oregon women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the WBB game between Hawaii Rainbow Warriors and Oregon Ducks on November 2 at 6:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Hawai'i vs Oregon women's college basketball game originally scheduled for November 2, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of timing changes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Hawaii vs. Oregon football game. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $11,232, with $7,964 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of the event’s potential results, combining insights from diverse traders. Polymarket currently favors Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Oregon Ducks (W) at 0.7%, while Kalshi leans toward Oregon wins at 99.0%. The dashboard provides a unified view of these predictions, offering a comprehensive assessment of the game’s likely outcome.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from expert analysis. It’s common to see differences in the implied probabilities, and comparing them can provide valuable insights into market sentiment surrounding the Hawaii vs. Oregon football game.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading fees, market-specific rules, and liquidity also play a role. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform can influence price discovery; a market with higher volume tends to have more efficient pricing. The differing user compositions and trading dynamics on Polymarket and Kalshi contribute to the observed price variations for the Hawaii vs. Oregon football game.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Hawaii vs. Oregon football game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the market’s payout structure at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Hawaii or Oregon teams would likely cause shifts in the probabilities. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as a severe storm, could also influence the market. Major coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced leading up to the game could also move the odds. Finally, significant betting activity on either Polymarket or Kalshi itself, driven by new information or shifts in sentiment, could also cause noticeable price movements.