TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the first half of a college football game between Harvard and Cornell. It focuses solely on which team leads at halftime, without considering the final game result. The market accounts for potential game postponements within a defined window.
If Cornell wins the 1st half of the Harvard vs Cornell college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Harvard wins the 1st half of the Harvard vs Cornell college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st half of the Harvard vs Cornell college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates insights from individuals with varying levels of knowledge. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the perceived probabilities for the Harvard vs Cornell first half winner.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a 'yes' outcome – that is, a win for one of the teams in the first half. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price reflects the collective belief of those trading in this market about the likelihood of either Harvard or Cornell winning the first half.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the first half of the Harvard vs Cornell game will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports news source. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the first half winner.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either Harvard or Cornell would likely cause movement. Unexpected weather conditions or significant shifts in public perception, as reflected in media coverage and social media sentiment, could also play a role. Even in-game events during the first half, such as early scoring drives or turnovers, could trigger rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding action.