TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Oct 3, 11:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of an English National League soccer match between Hartlepool and Tamworth. Bettors can speculate on whether either team will secure a victory or if the game will conclude in a draw within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends solely on the full-time result, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event involves determining the full-time result of the Hartlepool versus Tamworth professional English National League soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026. The market resolves based on whether Hartlepool wins, Tamworth wins, or the game ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. Each market corresponds directly to one of the three possible outcomes—Hartlepool win, Tamworth win, or tie—and only the standard regulation time result determines the resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, being driven by individual traders, can sometimes offer more competitive odds, reflecting a collective assessment of probabilities. However, sportsbook odds benefit from the expertise of professional oddsmakers and can incorporate information not yet fully priced into the prediction market. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view of potential outcomes for the Hartlepool vs Tamworth match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand – if more people believe an outcome is likely, they'll bid up the price of the corresponding contract, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time forecast of the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hartlepool vs Tamworth match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on that information. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress leading up to this date.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in player form could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team over another. Furthermore, public perception and media coverage surrounding the Hartlepool vs Tamworth match can influence trading activity. Major upsets in related matches or broader sporting events could also indirectly affect this market, as traders adjust their overall risk appetite.