TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of an English National League soccer match between Hartlepool and Hornchurch. Bettors can speculate on whether either team will secure a victory or if the game will conclude in a draw within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The event involves determining the result of the Hartlepool versus Hornchurch professional English National League soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, strictly after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Hartlepool wins, Hornchurch wins, or the match ends in a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price based on prevailing conditions and probabilities at that time. The resolution hinges solely on the full-time result as defined, with no consideration for subsequent playoff or knockout phases.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by individuals’ willingness to buy or sell based on their own assessments. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure there are always bids and asks available, facilitating smooth trading. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the final result of the Hartlepool vs Hornchurch match, as officially declared by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team over the other. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the teams’ recent performance could impact trading volume and price movements. Major upsets in related matches or significant changes in betting patterns at sportsbooks could also contribute to shifts in this market.