TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Hartford Athletic and Rhode Island FC. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both Hartford Athletic and Rhode Island FC in their USL Championship match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored within the 90 minutes of regulation time plus any added stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from the count. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, with resolution set to 'Yes' if the actual goals surpass that threshold. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi is not officially affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets and sportsbook odds often reflect similar probabilities, as both attempt to forecast the same real-world events. However, prediction markets can sometimes differ due to the wisdom of the crowd and the incentive structure for traders. Sportsbooks may incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets allow traders to directly express their beliefs. It’s common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge as the event approaches, but discrepancies can arise based on differing information or public sentiment regarding the Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island FC match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the likelihood of more than 0.5 total goals being scored. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective judgment of all traders participating on Kalshi, creating a real-time forecast of the game’s potential outcome. The current price indicates what the market believes is the chance of exceeding 0.5 goals.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, following the completion of the Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island FC match. The outcome will be determined by the official total goals scored in the game, as verified against credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will be used to determine whether more than 0.5 goals were scored, and contracts will be settled accordingly. Any potential overtime or penalty shootouts will be factored into the final goal tally for the purposes of this market’s resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Hartford Athletic or Rhode Island FC could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable for scoring, might also impact the market. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from soccer experts and any shifts in public sentiment regarding the teams' offensive capabilities could all contribute to price movement in this market. Unexpected team lineup announcements could also play a role.